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Election Polls & Forecasts
Who’s up, who’s down, and model odds headed into election day.
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Don’t Believe The Polls
11+ hour, 15+ min ago (446+ words) Tony Katz Shreds Midterm Hysteria, Predicts Democratic Brand Is Crashing The mainstream media’s midterm polling narrative is fundamentally broken because Americans ultimately believe Democrats are far crazier than Republicans have been incompetent, Tony Katz argued. While conventional Beltway wisdom insists…...
“Independents are going to play a very significant role.”
14+ hour, 39+ min ago (563+ words) “Republicans had one job coming out of that election, and that was fixing the economy,” Miller said. “Given the way that things have evolved, that’s why we’re seeing challenges today.” “Independents are going to play a very significant role,” Miller…...
CNN Sees Metric That Looks 'Darn Good' For Republicans Before The Midterms
8+ hour, 19+ min ago (413+ words) CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten reported Wednesday that voter registration data in four swing states favors Republicans heading into the November midterms. This measure runs counter to polling showing Democrats ahead. "When you take a look at how people…...
Harris Voters More Pumped Than Trump Voters About Voting In Midterms: Poll
11+ hour, 25+ min ago (805+ words) Oct 8, 2026 (Reuters) – Voters who backed Democratic former Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024 are far more enthusiastic about casting ballots this November than those who supported President Donald Trump, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found, in a potential warning sign for Republicans…...
MAGA turns on Trump: A fourth of his voters say Republicans should break from the president
10+ hour, 27+ min ago (543+ words) The war in Iran, high gas prices and stubborn inflation have likely contributed to the shift A quarter of people who voted for President Donald Trump in 2024 say that Republican candidates should split from the president to win in November,…...
Race Remains a Dividing Line in Battle For Congress, Poll Finds
12+ hour, 36+ min ago (412+ words) Black, Asian, and Hispanic voters favor Democratic candidates by substantial margins ahead of the upcoming midterm elections, according to a new poll from the Pew Research Center. While all three groups have historically favored Democrats, the latest findings draw into…...
Iowa 2026 Poll: Toss-up in U.S. Senate race; Sand maintains edge for governor
19+ hour, 39+ min ago (288+ words) A new Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media poll finds 47% of Iowa voters support Republican Ashley Hinson, while 45% support Democrat Josh Turek for U.S. Senate. Libertarian Thomas Laehn has 2% support, while 7% are undecided. Since September, Hinson’s support decreased three points, from 50% to…...
‘Polls aren’t looking good’: GOP panics as blue tsunami builds
14+ hour, 53+ min ago (631+ words) The midterms are looking uglier for Republicans each day, with states and districts that President Donald Trump won in a landslide in 2024 now showing Democrats in the lead with just 24 days until Election Day. Polls from a range of geographic…...
‘Missing’ GOP Voters Could Be Nightmare For Dems During Midterms
12+ hour, 30+ min ago (640+ words) Democrats are entering the final weeks of the 2026 midterm campaign with several encouraging political indicators, but a new analysis warns that a familiar problem could complicate their expectations: Republican voters who are difficult for pollsters to reach. With control of…...
Iowa poll SHOCK: Pollster admits how it skewed key race results toward Democrats when GOP really leads
12+ hour, 33+ min ago (770+ words) Renewed doubt in the general accuracy of polls has prompted one top pollster to defend his fellow prognosticators. Skepticism is mounting about the narrative that a blue wave is set to crash in the midterms. There are, after all, signs…...